Miami Dolphins 2010 Season Preview
Football Betting Lines
08/17/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - If the final week of October 2010 arrives, and the
attention of the South Florida sports fan is focused on the Miami Dolphins,
you'll know things are going very well for Tony Sparano's team.
If the Dolphins are, say, 3-3 after they host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct.
24th, that probably isn't going to cut it.
Two days later, the Miami Heat travel to meet the Boston Celtics to open what
many expect to be a momentous 2010-11 season for one of the most talented NBA
rosters ever assembled.
Chad Henne, Brandon Marshall and Karlos Dansby may have their own brand of
star power, but their collective Q rating is unlikely to be a match for that
of King James, D-Wade, and Chris Bosh.
All the Dolphins can hope to do is win enough football games to divert a
portion of the local attention. While the Miami brain trust of Bill Parcells,
Jeff Ireland and Sparano is hardly worried about the impact the stars of the
hardwood will have on the Dolphins' local profile, they have assembled a team
that they expect to be competitive well into the winter.
One season after orchestrating a 10-game turnaround that included an AFC East
title in 2008, Miami took a step back to 7-9 last year, and subsequently made
offseason moves to prevent further slippage.
On offense, a long-sought-after weapon was added when the team traded for the
Pro Bowl wideout Marshall, and the interior o-line was also tweaked.
Defensively, Parcells and Co. swapped out coordinator Paul Pasqualoni with
Mike Nolan, and brought in talent like Dansby, ex-Saints pass rusher Charles
Grant and rookies Jared Odrick and Koa Misi to turn around a flagging unit.
All of the moves were necessary for the Dolphins to stay competitive in a
division where the Jets are the league's media darlings heading into 2010, and
where the Patriots haven't had a losing season since Tom Brady was a rookie
reserve.
Though few are talking about the Fins in the expectant tones reserved for the
Heat, a couple of the right breaks could have the teams competing fiercely for
attention in the local papers.
For Sparano, the lack of headlines - and the disappointing way the 2009 season
unraveled - should have Miami eager to pile up wins and change perceptions
about the direction of this team. In fact, the Dolphins' motto this season is
"Feed the Wolf," and the consumable in this case is wins.
"I had a meeting with the group and kind of got into them a little bit during
that practice about 7-9 not being good enough and how this football team
shouldn't be fat," Sparano said early in training camp. "They should be
starving; they should be hungry and want to feed the wolf."
"From our end out here," Sparano continued, "we feed the wolf when we do
something good and that's what our guys understand. Small successes will lead
to bigger successes down the way."
Below we take a capsule look at the 2010 edition of the Miami Dolphins, with a
personnel evaluation and prognosis included therein:
2009 RECORD: 7-9 (3rd, AFC East)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2008, lost to Baltimore, 27-9, in AFC Wild Card
COACH (RECORD): Tony Sparano (18-14 in two seasons with Dolphins, 18-14
overall)
OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Dan Henning
DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Mike Nolan
OFFENSIVE STAR: Brandon Marshall, WR (101 receptions, 1120 yards, 10 TD with
Denver)
DEFENSIVE STAR: Karlos Dansby, LB (109 tackles, 1 INT, 1 sack with Arizona)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 4th rushing, 20th passing, 15th scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 18th rushing, 24th passing, t25th scoring
KEY ADDITIONS: WR Brandon Marshall (from Broncos), G Richie Incognito (from
Bills), G John Jerry (3rd Round, Ole Miss), OL Cory Procter (from Cowboys), DL
Jared Odrick (1st Round, Penn State), DE Marques Douglas (from Jets), DE
Charles Grant (from Saints) LB Karlos Dansby (from Cardinals), OLB Koa Misi
(2nd Round, Utah), ILB Tim Dobbins (from Chargers), DB Kevin Hobbs (from
Lions)
KEY DEPARTURES: WR/RS Ted Ginn Jr. (to 49ers), G Justin Smiley (to Jaguars),
NT Jason Ferguson (retired), DE Phillip Merling (out for season/injured), OLB
Jason Taylor (to Jets), OLB Joey Porter (to Cardinals), LB Akin Ayodele (to
Broncos), LB Reggie Torbor (to Bills), CB Nathan Jones (to Broncos), S Gibril
Wilson (to Bengals)
QB: Though his first season as an NFL starter could not be called spectacular,
Henne (2878 passing yards, 12 TD, 14 INT) showed enough positives to suggest
that he can be a consistently capable signal-caller down the road. Henne went
7-6 after taking over for Chad Pennington four games into the 2009 campaign,
making the occasional mistakes you would expect of a 24-year-old quarterback
but also displaying general accuracy and leadership qualities. With a year
under his belt and Marshall in the fold as a bona fide No. 1 target, Henne
should take a step forward this season. The battle to back Henne up will be
between Pennington (413 passing yards, 1 TD, 2 INT) and Tyler Thigpen (83
passing yards, 1 TD, 2 INT), and may not be settled until late in the
preseason. Pennington is 34 and has 86 games worth of starting experience
in the NFL, but has also had three shoulder surgeries and can't be completely
counted on. Thigpen is athletic but is short on NFL experience and even
shorter on winning experience. Pat White (81 rushing yards), a second-round
pick in 2009, looks a failed experiment and could be asked to play wideout.
RB: One of the bright spots for the Dolphins in 2009 was the play of Ricky
Williams (1121 rushing yards, 35 receptions, 13 TD), who became the first back
in NFL history with five years between 1,000-yard seasons. Williams is 33 but
is still in outstanding condition, and will be a major part of the Fins' two-
back system again. The main component of that system, if he stays healthy,
will be Ronnie Brown (648 rushing yards, 8 TD, 14 receptions). Brown's 2009
season ended due to a foot injury suffered in mid-November, marking the second
time in the last three years the former No. 2 overall pick has failed to last
the year. Patrick Cobbs (36 rushing yards) comes off a major knee injury, but
if he recovers sufficiently, he should make the team ahead of Lex Hilliard (89
rushing yards, 20 receptions, 3 TD) due to his abilities on special teams.
Lousaka Polite (123 rushing yards, 11 receptions) appeared in all 16 games for
Miami at fullback last season, and is expected to remain in that role.
WR/TE: The Dolphins passing game lacked explosive outside options last season,
and that deficiency was something that Parcells and GM Jeff Ireland addressed
by dealing for Marshall. Marshall has had off-the-field problems and has never
been much of a team player, but it's hard to argue with his three consecutive
100-catch, 1,000-yard seasons. His presence should help free up the rest of
Miami's wideout group, which includes Davone Bess (76 receptions, 2 TD), Brian
Hartline (31 receptions, 3 TD), and Greg Camarillo (50 receptions). Look for
Hartline to win the job opposite Marshall, and for Bess to end up in the slot.
The Fins also have high hopes for Patrick Turner, a 2009 third-round pick who
appeared in just two games last season and did not have a catch. There are
some familiar names at tight end, where Anthony Fasano (31 receptions, 2 TD) ,
Joey Haynos (19 receptions, 2 TD), and Kory Sperry (3 receptions, 1 TD) all
return from last year's crew, and David Martin is back with the team after
missing all of last season with a knee injury.
OL: Though there is some uncertainty on the Miami offensive line, it's not on
the outside where tackles Jake Long (left side) and Vernon Carey (right side)
are firmly entrenched. Long has made the Pro Bowl in each of his first two
seasons, and Carey has not missed a start since 2005. Nate Garner, who started
eight games at guard last season, looks like the top tackle backup and will
also be in the mix at guard. There's a better chance the starting guards will
be brand new, however. The Dolphins signed the volatile but serviceable Richie
Incognito in free agency, and spent a third-round pick on mauler John Jerry.
Their presence spells trouble for 12-game 2009 starter Donald Thomas, and ex-
Cowboy Cory Procter is not a sure thing either. At center, Jake Grove and Joe
Berger split time as the starter last year, and are battling for the job again
in the preseason.
DL: The ability of the Dolphins defense to rebound from a disappointing 2009
will hinge largely on the development of a new-look three-man front. Following
the retirement of nose tackle Jason Ferguson and the loss of end Phillip
Merling for the season due to injury, the Fins must have players like nose
tackles Paul Soliai (25 tackles) and Randy Starks (56 tackles, 7 sacks), young
ends Jared Odrick (1st Round, Penn State) and Kendall Langford (43 tackles,
2.5 sacks), and incoming vets Marques Douglas (64 tackles, 1.5 sacks with the
Jets) and Charles Grant (44 tackles, 5.5 sacks with the Saints) converge to
form a reliable group. Starks and Odrick are both being asked to take on
different responsibilities than they've been accustomed to. As they go, so
might go this unit.
LB: In keeping with the general offseason demolition of the Miami front seven,
the linebacking corps will have a radical new look as well. Gone are outside
mainstays Joey Porter and Jason Taylor, while inside regulars Akin Ayodele and
Reggie Torbor have waved goodbye too. Inside linebacker Channing Crowder (51
tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) is the lone starting holdover from this group, and
should love playing alongside Dansby. Dansby makes a ton of his plays and his
energy will offer an instant upgrade. Things are less certain on the outside,
where second-round rookie Koa Misi (Utah) is an unknown quantity and former
CFLer Cameron Wake (23 tackles, 5.5 sacks) is being asked to take on a much
larger role after a solid 2009 as a reserve. Holdovers Charlie Anderson (17
tackles, 2 sacks) and Quentin Moses (6 tackles, 1 sack) will have to beat out
ex-Lions bust Ikaika Alama-Francis for a reserve job on the outside. Former
Charger Tim Dobbins (53 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT with San Diego) looks like the
No. 1 backup at ILB.
DB: Though their rank of 24th in NFL passing defense a year ago, might suggest
differently, the strength of the Miami defense entering 2010 could be in the
secondary. Corners Vontae Davis (52 tackles, 4 INT) and Sean Smith (39
tackles) are still learning, but did a credible job in '09 and should continue
to improve. At strong safety, Yeremiah Bell (114 tackles, 3 INT, 1.5 sacks)
made his first Pro Bowl last year and has appeared in all 16 games during
four of the past five seasons. The biggest question in the defensive backfield
is at free safety, where new coordinator Mike Nolan has to choose between
Chris Clemons (13 tackles) or promising fifth-round draft choice Reshad Jones
(Georgia). Tyrone Culver (32 tackles, 1 INT) is still around as well, but is
best utilized in a backup role. The corner depth is thin, with shaky former
first-rounder Jason Allen (22 tackles) and former Lion and Seahawk Kevin Hobbs
(32 tackles with the Lions) looking like the best options there at the moment.
Will Allen (21 tackles, 1 INT), who is coming off a knee injury, is uncertain
to be available for Week 1.
SPECIAL TEAMS: The Dolphins should be all set in the kicking game. Dan
Carpenter (25-28 FG) was among the league's most accurate kickers a year ago,
and Brandon Fields (46.3 avg.) was solid at punter. The departed Ted Ginn made
his biggest contribution as a Fin in the return game, but the team shouldn't
lose much sleep without him there. Davone Bess (7.5 punt return avg.) and
Patrick Cobbs (22.6 kickoff return avg.) look like the answer on punt returns
and kickoff returns, respectively. John Denney returns for his sixth season as
the Miami long snapper.
PROGNOSIS: For all of the expectations attached to the Jets, and to a lesser
extent the Patriots, this season, it's important to note that the Dolphins
went 3-1 against those teams (including a sweep of the Jets) last year. Though
the record reflects that this was a a 7-9 club in the end, Miami actually had
a 7-3 stretch of football at one point and was very much in the playoff hunt
before falling apart in the final three weeks. Against that backdrop, an
optimist might suggest that the Dolphins should be very much in the mix for
the 2010 AFC East title. A pessimist, though, will point to two separate
three-game losing streaks as evidence of how things seem to go south quickly
in Miami, and how a roster chock full of new faces doesn't necessarily lend
itself to consistent football. In a contentious division race, the needle
seems to lean closer to the Dolphins being on the outside of the postseason
looking in when all is said and done, but you can also bet on Sparano's squad
being a tough out each and every week.
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Brewers and San Diego Padres all failed to sign first-round draft picks prior
to a midnight deadline on Monday.
The decisions mean the teams will receive com
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Orlando, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Veteran center Adonal Foyle has announced his
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October. He appeared in only 10 games during the 2008-09 season with th
Blue Jays getting lucky with a pair of aces >>
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without ace Roy Halladay for the first time in 12 seasons, the mood among fans
and prognosticators alike was doom and gloom. However, the Jays' young
pitching staf
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(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Red Sox are expected to have second baseman
Dustin Pedroia back in the lineup this evening when they open a three-game
series against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim at Fenway Park.
Pedroia has been sidelined
Verlander vs. CC highlights Tigers-Yankees clash >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two of the best pitchers in baseball face off this evening
when CC Sabathia and the New York Yankees continue their four-game series
against Justin Verlander and the Detroit Tigers at Yankee Stadium.
Sabathia, who will be
Garza aims for 12th victory as Rays take on Rangers >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Matt Garza shoots for a career-high 12th win of the season
this evening when the Tampa Bay Rays continue their three-game series with the
Texas Rangers at Tropicana Field.
Tampa won for the fifth time in its last seven gam
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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Will Ohio State continue to run the table in College Football betting odds?
MySportsbook.com favors Buckeyes, Fighting Irish and Golden Bears in this weekend's big games.
NEW YORK, NY, Sept. 21 - My Sportsbook NCAA football fans: things are beginning to get really interesting on college football's national stage. Following last weekend's "Separation Saturday", which included five teams ranked in the top 15 dropping games, the BCS Championship picture is beginning to take shape - with Ohio State leading the charge. And, according to odds makers at MySportsbook.com, the number-one-ranked Buckeyes will continue their winning ways this weekend.
Revenge will be the name of the game in Columbus this Saturday, as Ohio State looks to even the score following last season's loss to Joe Paterno's Nittany Lions. Although Penn State are listed as 16.5 point underdogs, they are 11-10 all-time versus the Buckeyes. Paterno and the Lions, however, will have to shut down Heisman Trophy favorite Troy Smith who has thrown for 769 yards and seven touchdowns this season.
Speaking of revenge, Notre Dame will be out for some against Michigan State, following last year's 44 - 41 overtime loss to the Spartans in South Bend. The thirteenth-ranked Irish, listed as a 3-point favorite, will also be looking to avenge last Saturday's thrashing from the Michigan Wolverines. The Spartans, meanwhile, have won seven of the last nine match-ups against Notre Dame and are coming off an impressive 38-23 victory over Pittsburgh.
Out west, 22nd-ranked Arizona State will be battling for their first victory over 21st-ranked California since 2000. Although the Golden Bears are listed as 7.5-point favorites, the Sun Devils are 3-0, lead the nation in sacks with 18 and possess the Pac-10's leading passer in sophomore quarterback Rudy Carpenter.
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NCAA Football betting lines (home team in CAPS)
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Date Favorite Opponent Point Spread
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Sept 21 GEORGIA TECH Virginia 17
Sept 22 NEVADA Northwestern 6.5
Sept 23 MICHIGAN Wisconsin 14
Sept 23 Minnesota PURDUE 3
Sept 23 SYRACUSE Miami (Ohio) 6.5
Sept 23 MISSOURI Ohio 21.5
Sept 23 Louisville KANSAS STATE 14
Sept 23 TENNESSEE Marshall 22
Sept 23 CLEMSON North Carolina 16.5
Sept 23 FLORIDA Kentucky 24
Sept 23 Iowa ILLINOIS 20.5
Sept 23 FLORIDA STATE Rice 30.5
Sept 23 AUBURN Buffalo 41.5
Sept 23 BOWLING GREEN Kent 7
Sept 23 NAVY Tulsa 4.5
Sept 23 VIRGINIA TECH Cincinnati 27
Sept 23 BYU Utah State 29
Sept 23 OHIO STATE Penn State 16.5
Sept 23 TEXAS Iowa State 25
Sept 23 Washington State STANFORD 10
Sept 23 CALIFORNIA Arizona State 7.5
Sept 23 UCLA WASHINGTON 3
Sept 23 INDIANA Connecticut 1.5
Sept 23 Central Michigan EASTERN MICHIGAN 4
Sept 23 WYOMING Air Force 1
Sept 23 UTEP NEW MEXICO 9.5
Sept 23 West Virginia EAST CAROLINA 21
Sept 23 Boston College NORTH CAROLINA STATE 7
Sept 23 GEORGIA Colorado 27
Sept 23 ARKANSAS Alabama 1.5
Sept 23 BAYLOR Army 11
Sept 23 WESTERN MICHIGAN Temple 28
Sept 23 MISSISSIPPI Wake Forest 2.5
Sept 23 KANSAS South Florida 5.5
Sept 23 TEXAS A&M Louisiana Tech 23.5
Sept 23 UAB Mississippi State 9.5
Sept 23 LSU Tulane 36
Sept 23 Utah SAN DIEGO STATE 6.5
Sept 23 BOISE STATE Hawaii 15
Sept 23 Notre Dame MICHIGAN STATE 3
Sept 23 USC ARIZONA U 22
Sept 23 Oklahoma State HOUSTON 1
Sept 23 OREGON STATE Idaho 23
Sept 23 OKLAHOMA Middle Tennessee State 29
Sept 23 MARYLAND Florida International 18.5
Sept 23 AKRON North Texas 17.5
Sept 23 SOUTH CAROLINA Florida Atlantic 29.5
Sept 23 NEBRASKA Troy 23
Sept 23 SMU Arkansas State 6
For complete NCAA football odds and World Series odds please visit MySportsbook.com
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